Mochy's backgammon study: I never understand this

2011/02/13

I never understand what is the best play and why. Any ideas?

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 34

Money session
Jacoby Beaver

pip: 134
score: 0

is Player 1

XGID=--BBBBC------------c-BcBg-:1:1:1:32:0:0:3:0:10

to play 32

Rollout¹

21/16

eq: -0.683

Player:
Opponent:

33.66% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
66.34% (G:47.82% B:0.37%)

Conf: ± 0.008 (-0.691...-0.675)
Duration: 58.8 seconds

Rollout¹

23/20 6/4

eq: -0.741 (-0.059)

Player:
Opponent:

33.61% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
66.39% (G:53.07% B:0.21%)

Conf: ± 0.007 (-0.748...-0.734)
Duration: 53.0 seconds

XG Roller+

21/18 6/4

eq: -0.728 (-0.046)

Player:
Opponent:

32.18% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
67.82% (G:48.81% B:0.62%)

¹ Truncated at 11 moves using 3 ply.
655 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 44
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21