2010/08/19

is neilkaz

score: 7
pip: 98
                         
11 point match
                          pip: 89
score: 2

is mochy
XGID=--BB-bDCBB-------b-bbbbc--:1:-1:1:31:2:7:0:11:10
to play 31

1.XG Roller+7/4 2/1eq: +0.340
Player:
Opponent:

68.92% (G:1.31% B:0.01%)

31.08% (G:0.39% B:0.01%)
* 2.XG Roller+7/3eq: +0.311 (-0.029)
Player:
Opponent:

67.89% (G:0.82% B:0.01%)

32.11% (G:0.39% B:0.01%)
3.4 ply7/4 3/2eq: +0.326 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:

68.53% (G:1.00% B:0.01%)

31.47% (G:0.49% B:0.00%)
4.4 ply9/8 9/6eq: +0.312 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent:

68.02% (G:0.71% B:0.00%)

31.98% (G:0.23% B:0.00%)
5.3 ply6/2eq: +0.310 (-0.030)
Player:
Opponent:

67.96% (G:0.89% B:0.00%)

32.04% (G:0.48% B:0.00%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

Only 64, 63 and 62 will be good for 7/3. All other rolls are better with 7/4 2/1.
You are comfortably ahead in the race and you shouldn't be bothered by escaping. This game will likely be in the race and you want to fill the point. As race get closer, it gets correct to play without blots. (Oppsite is also true)

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