Position from 1st WSOB HEADS-UP CHAMPIONSHIP - 03

Position from 1st WSOB HEADS-UP CHAMPIONSHIP

1st match Jurgen beats Mochy (PR Mochy 3.7 - Jurgen 4.0)
http://dl.dropbox.com/u/3098363/orlowski_go_vegan%20-%20bgmochy2%2017047782.mat

2nd match Mochy beats Jurgen (PR Mochy 2.8 - Jurgen 2.7)
http://dl.dropbox.com/u/3098363/bgmochy2%20-%20orlowski_go_vegan%2017049279.mat

Match 2 Game 4

is orlowski_go_vegan score: 2 pip: 111

11 point match

pip: 175 score: 2 is bgmochy2

XGID=----aBC-B-A--C-A-ccecB---A:0:0:1:32:2:2:0:11:10

to play 32

1.	Rollout1	Bar/23 13/10	eq: -0.394
	Player: Opponent: 43.57% (G:6.32% B:0.23%) 56.43% (G:25.75% B:0.68%) Conf: ± 0.021 (-0.415...-0.373) Duration: 3 minutes 49 seconds
* 2.	Rollout2	Bar/22 6/4*	eq: -0.463 (-0.069)
	Player: Opponent: 43.91% (G:6.59% B:0.23%) 56.09% (G:32.09% B:1.37%) Conf: ± 0.022 (-0.485...-0.441) Duration: 3 minutes 41 seconds
1 Truncated at 11 moves using 3 ply. 326 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 9584 Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply 2 Truncated at 11 moves using 3 ply. 325 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 9584 Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

Japanese expert player "Tsuyoshi Minakami" (aka minack) once told me that "Making a point is usually better than hitting loose". This small tips is quite handy and it it true here.
I don't have enough amunition to completing blitz but I have many snipers hanging around on outfield.
It is very thematic to building from outside, not inside.
One downside is that it gives him a free roll but it is not quite a problem as I own 21p anchor.

Position from 1st WSOB HEADS-UP CHAMPIONSHIP - 02

Position from 1st WSOB HEADS-UP CHAMPIONSHIP

1st match Jurgen beats Mochy (PR Mochy 3.7 - Jurgen 4.0)
http://dl.dropbox.com/u/3098363/orlowski_go_vegan%20-%20bgmochy2%2017047782.mat
2nd match Mochy beats Jurgen (PR Mochy 2.8 - Jurgen 2.7)
http://dl.dropbox.com/u/3098363/bgmochy2%20-%20orlowski_go_vegan%2017049279.mat

Match 2 Game 3

is orlowski_go_vegan score: 2 pip: 131

11 point match

pip: 116 score: 0 is bgmochy2

XGID=---BBbE-B---bB-B-abeb-a---:1:-1:1:53:0:2:0:11:10

to play 53

* 1.	4 ply	13/10 13/8	eq: +0.155
	Player: Opponent: 62.55% (G:4.82% B:0.18%) 37.45% (G:4.48% B:0.12%)
2.	4 ply	13/8 6/3	eq: +0.060 (-0.095)
	Player: Opponent: 58.56% (G:6.16% B:0.22%) 41.44% (G:6.76% B:0.17%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

Here I made a good play and I am kind a proud of it. :)
My outfield is completly stripped and it is time to pay. Brown has a blot on three point so he needs to roll some perfecta.

Position from 1st WSOB HEADS-UP CHAMPIONSHIP - 01

I am going to post some interesting position from my match against Jurgen Orlowski in 1st WSOB HEADS-UP CHAMPIONSHIP.

2nd match game3

is orlowski_go_vegan score: 2 pip: 140

11 point match

pip: 121 score: 0 is bgmochy2

XGID=-a-BBaE-A---bC-B-bbeb-----:1:-1:1:32:0:2:0:11:10

to play 32

1.	Rollout1	8/5* 5/3	eq: +0.361
	Player: Opponent: 65.10% (G:20.96% B:0.61%) 34.90% (G:7.73% B:0.35%) Conf: ± 0.010 (+0.351...+0.371) Duration: 3 minutes 19 seconds
* 2.	Rollout2	13/8	eq: +0.269 (-0.092)
	Player: Opponent: 64.46% (G:13.66% B:0.39%) 35.54% (G:7.12% B:0.29%) Conf: ± 0.009 (+0.260...+0.278) Duration: 3 minutes 51 seconds
1 Truncated at 11 moves using 3 ply. 326 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 9584 Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply 2 Truncated at 11 moves using 3 ply. 325 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 9584 Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

This is my first serious mistake. I didn't hit because I was afraid of him having anchor on my acepoint.

Now I see why hitting is better.

1, It wins more gammon.

This is the easiest reason I can find (I knew it over the board).

Especially he fans, I have 10 checkers in the zone aiming a lone checker on ace point.

Also he might enter awkwardly (23,24,25,26,35,56) so that I can cotinue my blitzing.

2, Even if he manages to make an anchor on acepoint, is it really worse for me?

I thought being anchord on acepoint is much worse than on five point, but it is actually unclear. It is true that he will have more contact in acepoint games in bear off and later bear in phaze, but atleast I have easier time in early bearin phaze (clearing 15 point and mid point).

If 2 is not clear, then 1 becomes a good reason to choose pick-and-pass play.

PlayWSOB Heads up championship Mochy vs Jurgen Orlowski 1st and 2nd match

1st match Jurgen beats Mochy (PR Mochy 3.7 - Jurgen 4.0)
http://dl.dropbox.com/u/3098363/orlowski_go_vegan%20-%20bgmochy2%2017047782.mat

2nd match Mochy beats Jurgen (PR Mochy 1.4 - Jurgen 1.4)
http://dl.dropbox.com/u/3098363/bgmochy2%20-%20orlowski_go_vegan%2017049279.mat

Exhibition match Mochy vs Falafel at SafeHarborGames

Here is a match file for Mochy vs Falafel.

Mochy played 2.8 - Falafel Played 1.9 in PR (Perfomance Rating in eXtreme Gammon)

http://dl.dropbox.com/u/3098363/mochy_falafel_TR10_201101300143_00.xg
http://dl.dropbox.com/u/3098363/mochy_falafel_TR10_201101300143_00.mat

It was a great match. Thank you falafel!

It doesn't matter

is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 7

1 point match

pip: 17 score: 0 is Player 1

XGID=--AAC------------------bc-:0:0:1:51:0:0:0:1:10

to play 51

1.	XG Roller+	4/0ff 2/1	eq: -0.157
	Player: Opponent: 42.14% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 57.86% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.	XG Roller+	4/3 4/0ff	eq: -0.234 (-0.077)
	Player: Opponent: 38.29% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 61.71% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

I was in auto pilot and my plane was fired down!

+500

is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 127

Money session Jacoby Beaver

pip: 134 score: 0 is Player 1

XGID=-bB-BBB-BA--cB-----bbbbbAA:0:0:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10

on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances:	70.58% (G: 40.38% B: 2.57%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	29.42% (G: 7.85% B: 0.50%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	72.61% (G: 44.75% B: 2.34%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	27.39% (G: 7.51% B: 0.48%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:	+0.412
Double:	+1.686
Cubeful Equities
No Double:	+0.855 (-0.145)
Double/Take:	+1.485 (+0.485)
Double/Drop:	+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Drop
Rollout details
1300 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 9584 Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double:	± 0.011 (+0.844...+0.866)
Confidence Double:	± 0.026 (+1.459...+1.511)
Double Decision confidence:	100.0%
Take Decision confidence:	100.0%
Duration: 14 minutes 02 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

I made a nearly quintuple blunder here! I thought if I could have manage to make an anchor on acepoint, I would have a decent game. However, I had to think about the other side of the story. If I couldn't make an anchor, almost sure I would lose gammon. Also, anchoring doesn't mean I would be a favorite. I would be still trapped two (or even three) checkers behind five prime.

is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 127

Money session Jacoby Beaver

pip: 136 score: 0 is Player 1

XGID=-b-BBBB-BA--cB-----bbbbbAA:0:0:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10

on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances:	66.44% (G: 37.44% B: 1.99%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	33.56% (G: 8.70% B: 0.54%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	67.39% (G: 39.94% B: 2.08%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	32.61% (G: 8.19% B: 0.48%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:	+0.329
Double:	+1.362
Cubeful Equities
No Double:	+0.820 (-0.180)
Double/Take:	+1.124 (+0.124)
Double/Drop:	+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Drop
Rollout details
1298 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 9584 Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double:	± 0.019 (+0.801...+0.838)
Confidence Double:	± 0.030 (+1.094...+1.153)
Double Decision confidence:	100.0%
Take Decision confidence:	100.0%
Duration: 18 minutes 16 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

I shifted from two point to three point of my inner board. It is still a clear pass.

is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 125

Money session Jacoby Beaver

pip: 133 score: 0 is Player 1

XGID=-bB-BBB-BA--cB-----bbbbAbA:0:0:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10

on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances:	63.35% (G: 37.32% B: 1.58%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	36.65% (G: 10.76% B: 0.61%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	64.36% (G: 39.60% B: 1.46%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	35.64% (G: 10.46% B: 0.65%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:	+0.267
Double:	+1.173
Cubeful Equities
No Double:	+0.705 (-0.179)
Double/Take:	+0.885
Double/Drop:	+1.000 (+0.115)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
973 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 9584 Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double:	± 0.027 (+0.679...+0.732)
Confidence Double:	± 0.035 (+0.850...+0.919)
Double Decision confidence:	100.0%
Take Decision confidence:	100.0%
Duration: 10 minutes 32 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

Shifting from acepoint open to deucepoint make it clear take though.